I am running a start-up business in Denmark. Denmark is not a part of the Euro, but the currency has been pegged to the Euro for many years. I believe that there is a significant risk of a collapse of the Euro, and I am not really interested in discussing this risk. What I am after is what the possible consequences to a collapse could be? As I do not expect to find information specific to Denmark, I am very interested to general information for businesses in the Euro-zone.
A way to read about this would be to read scenarios from larger companies about the consequences of such a collapse. I believe especially Shell is putting significant resources into creating such scenarios, and I would be most interested to read such scenarios or your qualified opinion on the consequences.
EDIT: By collapse I mean that a significant number or all of Euro-zone countries return to their old currencies, which they had before the Euro.
Assuming the Danish economy is fundamentally sound:
It's more likely to unraval with individual countries withdrawing than catastrophically collapse. So fluctuations can vary depending on which countries withdraw or remain:
You're concerned about countries using the Euro that are major trading partners.
Top export partners (2009): Germany 17.53%, Sweden 12.68%, UK 8.49%, US 6.05%, Norway 6.01%, Netherlands 4.84%, France 4.57%
Top import partners (2009): Germany 21.07%, Sweden 13.18%, Norway 7%, Netherlands 6.97%, China 6.22%, UK 5.53%
Of these partners using the Euro: Germany, Netherlands, France
Exports seem to trend 5-10b greater than imports for 2009/2010. While both imports and exports are close in number, it can still cause economic pain if Danish exports become too expensive.
I think you're probably fortunate that Germany is the largest partner since their economy is fundamentally strong and healthy. Your currency probably may not "hyper-appreciate/depreciate" against a "Deutch Mark". And even if the korune appreciated significantly, exports would not be critically hit due to German ability to absorb price increases.
Benefits of current structure that mitigate risk: